We are going through a serious global crisis that no one is sure how we will. Macroeconomic data are analyzed and plans are designed to stabilize the system, but nothing will work if you consider the main factor behind any crisis of a system: the human factor, a factor both stabilizing and destabilizing.
amazing thing about the story
Something amazing that I have always drawn attention to the story. It happened before, happens now and possibly ever will: humanity does not seem namely, not to actually control, where it goes. The events will happen and when all seems tied up and in place, comes a new incident that disrupts all, wars, revolutions, economic crisis or other catastrophe. In these situations the story, after they occurred, draws conclusions and helps us to prevent their recurrence, but there is always something that escapes us and everything returns to lead a new catastrophe, everything starts over again. Butterfly Effect In physics there are some systems that are highly sensitive to initial conditions. No matter how well you know the variables that will influence its development, however sophisticated become the instruments that measure, there will be a minimum uncertainty influence decisively in the further development of the system. Cause minimal will be able to trigger large consequences. This effect is known popularly by the name of "butterfly effect." An exaggerated, but very graphic, explains that the simple flight of a butterfly in Africa, can lead, over time, a hurricane in China. The first such system to be studied back in the sixties, it was time weather forecast.
Butterfly Effect and history
From the first moment that I became aware of this curious type physical systems, I recalled the very course of history. We know thousands of small stories that influenced decisively in the further development of very important events. Any of these sensitive cases, to develop differently, would have changed the destiny of any country or world. History has passed, over thousands of years, curd million events of greater or lesser significance, randomly interleaved or not. In many ways, could be considered as a "very sensitive to initial conditions, a nonlinear system with many feedbacks. Fortunately, the manipulators who try, and try, change the destiny of nations, difficult, may take into account all the variables necessary to achieve its purpose. A very short term that their calculations may be correct, but in the medium and long term will make mistakes. Small errors of calculation, as events unfold, they have greater influence on the results up to deface. Intentioned actions will encounter, in principle, with the same problems with the multiplier effect of small miscalculations about the system. More so now that the effect of globalization transforms the world into a more sensitive and unstable.
"Dignity and stability?
Apart from the factor purely "physical", uncertainty, there is a crucial element in the historical development, the manipulator tends to forget and that is allied with the "butterfly effect" to disrupt their plans. It may seem unscientific, even unrealistic, but, far from it, actually obeys a verifiable and solid, and is an essential element of the human factor: human dignity. There is a driving force of history but rather as "channeler" the real engine. This, incidentally, is no stranger to selfishness in its various forms, perverse, to a greater or lesser extent. selfish power tends stepped on all, without any consideration. It is a gross motor element, like a storm. But unlike the storm that acts without obstacles, obeying physical laws and constraints purely mechanical power is always faced with the dignity of the individual. The trodden a thousand times, the scorn, but ultimately come face to face, facing him in the seeds of revolution or change required. And be able to redirect the flow of history itself. That's the difference between physical systems chaotic in the sense that they can follow very different paths to the future, equally valid, and "sensitive system" of history whose only stable final trajectory after any change chaotic, passes through the respect for human dignity. The feeling that makes us feel unique, different, with an intrinsic value as the center of the world we perceive our world. It is a universal feeling born of self-awareness.
All lovers of natural justice and we welcome the fact that a physical effect "friend" is an ally of social justice against the selfish calculations of power. These calculations, organized by the most powerful of computers that may exist in the future, are unable to collect all information necessary and potentially influential in its smallest details. A simple flight, unplanned, uncalculated, a small butterfly can thwart most perfect and thoughtful. That simple flight will also be able to derail well-intentioned plans to try to handle any crisis if you do not have the stabilizing factor that introduces, in a multitude of unstable points, respect for personal dignity. Post
out of my collaboration with Book of Letters, Science and Letters .